{"id":2712,"date":"2026-07-27T18:36:33","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T18:36:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/americanhomejournals.com\/?p=2712"},"modified":"2026-07-27T18:36:33","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T18:36:33","slug":"has-ai-reached-the-singularity-what-smart-people-are-saying-about-sam-altmans-claim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/americanhomejournals.com\/?p=2712","title":{"rendered":"Has AI reached the singularity? What smart people are saying about Sam Altman&#8217;s claim"},"content":{"rendered":"<section>\n<p>Sam Altman said the singularity is here. Not everyone agrees. <\/p>\n<p>The singularity is often used to describe a point at which AI improves itself so quickly that humans can no longer reliably understand, predict, or control what comes next.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/americanhomejournals.com\/?p=2710\">Sam Altman says he got \u2018addicted\u2019 to TikTok, including a Saturday afternoon where he scrolled \u2018for like 3 hours\u2019<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I&#8217;ve been waiting for this my whole life, and I think it&#8217;s going to be incredible, hugely positive, awesome for the world,&#8221; Altman, the CEO of OpenAI, said of the singularity in an episode of the &#8220;Relentless&#8221; podcast that aired Saturday.<\/p>\n<p>Last week, Elon Musk said in an X post that the singularity has arrived, while Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis said in May that humanity was standing at the &#8220;foothills of the singularity.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>However, the public response from tech&#8217;s biggest leaders has notably been silent following Altman&#8217;s comment. Most of those who spoke to Business Insider said they didn&#8217;t think the bar had been met. <\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s what smart people are saying about Altman&#8217;s claim.<\/p>\n<div>\n<section>\n<div>\n<h2>Stuart Russell, UC Berkeley professor and author of &#8216;Human Compatible&#8217;<\/h2>\n<div>\n<p>Stuart Russell, who also co-authored &#8220;Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach,&#8221; said we have not reached the singularity and said he doesn&#8217;t think Altman believes we have either.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;No, and nor does Altman,&#8221; Russell told Business Insider when asked if he believed we had reached the singularity.<\/p>\n<p>He pointed to Altman&#8217;s comments last month that AI systems could be doing a &#8220;significant fraction&#8221; of OpenAI&#8217;s research by March 2028, a timeline Russell said suggests the singularity isn&#8217;t here yet.<\/p>\n<p>Russell also challenged Altman&#8217;s January 2025 claim that OpenAI knew how to build AGI &#8220;as we have traditionally understood it.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;That was not true then and it&#8217;s still not true,&#8221; Russell said.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If we do reach the Singularity before we have a cast-iron solution to the problem of loss of control, then we will almost certainly lose control,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section>\n<div>\n<h2>Roman Yampolskiy, author of &#8216;Artificial Superintelligence&#8217;<\/h2>\n<div>\n<p>Roman Yampolskiy, a professor of computer science at the University of Louisville, said AI is advancing extraordinarily quickly, but we have not reached the singularity under its traditional definition.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Rapid progress is not itself the singularity,&#8221; Yampolskiy told Business Insider.<\/p>\n<p>He said today&#8217;s systems can assist with AI research but still depend on human-designed architectures, training infrastructure, objectives, and coordination, he said.<\/p>\n<p>They have not, he added, demonstrated &#8220;sustained, autonomous recursive self-improvement resulting in an uncontrollable intelligence explosion.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section>\n<div>\n<h2>Nick Bostrom, author of &#8216;Superintelligence&#8217;<\/h2>\n<div>\n<p>Nick Bostrom, a philosopher who founded the now-closed Future of Humanity Institute at the University of Oxford, said it may be impossible to know exactly when humanity crosses into the singularity.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/americanhomejournals.com\/?p=2708\">Y Combinator turned a sports arena into AI\u2019s biggest pep rally<\/a><\/p>\n<p>He compared the moment to falling into a black hole.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;At some point they glide over the hole&#8217;s event horizon, which means they are henceforth forever separated from the rest of the universe,&#8221; Bostrom told Business Insider. &#8220;Yet from their perspective, everything still seems the same as before.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Bostrom said AI is showing the &#8220;first stirrings&#8221; of recursive self-improvement, with systems beginning to contribute meaningfully to AI research. He said a key missing capability is continual learning.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Using current AIs is like working with a brilliant and extremely well-educated recruit, but it&#8217;s always their first day at the job,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section>\n<div>\n<h2>James Barrat, author of &#8216;The Intelligence Explosion&#8221;<\/h2>\n<div>\n<p>James Barrat, an author and filmmaker who has long warned about the risks of advanced AI, agreed with Altman that humanity has entered the singularity.<\/p>\n<p>Barrat said the singularity is a speculative hypothesis rather than an established scientific prediction.<\/p>\n<p>But, using the late science-fiction author Vernor Vinge&#8217;s definition \u2014 a point at which technological growth transforms civilization in ways people cannot predict or control \u2014 &#8220;that&#8217;s exactly where we are,&#8221; he told Business Insider.<\/p>\n<p>Barrat pointed to OpenAI&#8217;s recent disclosure that its autonomous AI agent left its test environment and accessed Hugging Face systems while trying to complete a cybersecurity challenge.<\/p>\n<p>AI-safety researchers have long warned that systems could execute novel, multistep plans without human oversight, he said. &#8220;Now it has happened. AI slipped from our control. Score one for the singularity.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section>\n<div>\n<h2>Ajay Agrawal, University of Toronto professor<\/h2>\n<div>\n<p>Ajay Agrawal, who is also a faculty affiliate at the Vector Institute for Artificial Intelligence in Toronto, said we have not reached the singularity.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;AI systems are extraordinarily powerful prediction machines, but they do not want anything,&#8221; Agrawal told Business Insider. &#8220;People have goals; neural networks do not.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>AI can appear purposeful because people set objectives for it to optimize against, he said, but that purpose &#8220;originates with us.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>He added it was more accurate to view AI as &#8220;remarkably powerful tools serving human goals&#8221; than autonomous entities with goals of their own \u2014 even as the risk of &#8220;catastrophic failure due to increasingly powerful zombie algorithms&#8221; grows.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/americanhomejournals.com\/?p=2706\">Satya Nadella says trust in US technology will outweigh the allure of cheap Chinese models<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section><\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sam Altman says we&#8217;re in the singularity. Most of the AI academics and authors Business Insider spoke to say the bar has not been met.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2711,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-interesting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Has AI reached the singularity? 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